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July 26, 2006

The Democratic Wave is Building

Thomas Mann of the Brookings Institute is of the opinion that this is indeed a Democratic Wave year.  In an article out of the Institute, that was also published in the WAPO, he says,

If history is any guide, we're heading into a major political storm. And that means we could see a national tide in November that will sweep the Democrats back into the majority.

Virtually every public opinion measure points to a Category 4 or 5 hurricane gathering. Bush's job-approval rating is below 40 percent, and congressional job approval is more than 10 percentage points lower. Only a quarter of the electorate thinks the country is moving in the right direction, and voters are unhappy with the economy under Bush. Finally, Democrats hold a double-digit lead as the party the public trusts to do a better job of tackling the nation's problems and the party it would like to see controlling Congress.

My sister in Portland called earlier today and asked if there was any good news.  Thought I'd pop something up that is hopeful in addition to the Idaho news below.  After all the international news, it's a welcome possibility to think about and work for.

Here's the money paragraph from the article:

But my own reading is that the odds favor a Democratic takeover of the House. The 15 seats that the party needs for a bare majority is well below the range of minority-party gains in past tidal-wave elections. The national winds blowing against the GOP are strong and have not diminished over the past nine months. Credible progress on the ground in Iraq before November is implausible. The public's harsh evaluation of the president's performance on the economy is unlikely to be reversed by Election Day. Prospects for significant legislative achievements in the remaining months of this Congress are remote. Enough seats will be in play (including some that Republicans carried in 2004 with more than 60 percent of the vote) to allow Democrats to gain majority status in the House.

Mann doesn't think we can win back the Senate this year.  If Mann is correct on that, we can sure come closer - to the point where Bush can't just nominate another right-wing Supreme Court justice and not expect a huge fight.  Can you just see Jon Tester or Ned Lamont on the Judiciary committee?

Posted by Lynn Allen on July 26, 2006 at 09:36 AM in National and International Politics | Permalink

Comments

Its hard to take back the Senate when the Washington Senator who is facing election seems intent on giving up her seat by running one of the worst campaigns in the history of the state.

Posted by: rainstan | Jul 27, 2006 9:27:34 PM

Progressives, Democrats and others who don't want to see another Republican elected to the Senate need to pitch in. Maria Cantwell can't win the seat alone. She needs the support of those who have been criticizing her to realize that her seat is at stake. They can win the battle to put her down but lose the war by adding another Republican to support the Rove/Bush/Cheney agenda.

Almost all candidates are imperfect, they are humans after all. But I think that progressives and Democrats in any state that has a Republican would love to have Maria Cantwell as their Senator. Do we have to lose a good Democrat before people realize what they lose by electing another Republican to support the Bush war in Iraq.

The Iraq war is Bush's War, not Senator Maria Cantwell's or the Democtrats. Cantwell supports withdrawing troops without toppling the fragile balance that keeps Iraq out of the hands of the Iranian Shities and others. Unfortunately we are in a mess because of Bush's incompentence and lying. There are no easy solutions.

Posted by: Seve Zemke MajorityRulesBlog | Jul 29, 2006 10:17:46 AM

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