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October 13, 2006

Category 5 Hurricane Heading for House

Respected pollster Charlie Cook says the Republicans are likely to lose 30 seats in the House and the number may be even higher.  He starts with the obvious disclaimer that the election is still 25 days away and there is no way to know that conditions won't change between now and November 7th.  Cook says this is without question the worst political situation for the Republicans since the 1974 post-Watergate elections.  Here's the advice he gives the Democrats:

On a conference call today, James Carville suggested that the Democratic Party should expand beyond just the top targeted races.  He believes the party should help fund previously ignored Democratic challengers in second- and third-tier districts--the next 30 to 50 Republican-held seats--to fully capitalize on this environment and help those candidates maximize their chances of winning. Carville went as far as to suggest Democrats go to the bank and borrow $5 million. If I were them, I'd make it $10 million and put $500,000 each of these 20 districts.

Keep working.  Keep donating.  We have no way of knowing whether the Republicans will pull something out of their hat or something will come up that none of us have any control over.  Doesn't it seem like it's time for another bin Laden tape? 

Posted by Lynn Allen on October 13, 2006 at 11:06 PM in Candidate Races, National and International Politics | Permalink


The biggest issue is GOTV. If Dems don't get the vote out, it won't matter. Republicans usually use the young kids to do GOTV, I'm wondering if the Foley scandal has hurt them there by making parents less likely to let their kids travel to do Republican campaigning. Dems need to get EVERYONE out to vote, though - really push those voters who won't usually vote in a non-presidential election.

Posted by: donna | Oct 14, 2006 11:18:25 AM

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